Issues come and go in long election season

LITTLETON, Colo. — The talk outside suburban Wal-Marts and along small-town Main Streets was about Russia's invasion of its neighbor, and which presidential candidate would handle it best.

In early August, people were talking gas prices. Last month it was the housing crisis. Next week, who knows?

Issues come and go this election year. The fleeting nature of their concerns is a vivid reminder why handicapping a November election in August is a largely futile exercise.

”It's a problem with this long campaign season. The election starts too early,“ said Linda Fowler, a professor of government at Dartmouth College, in Hanover, N.H.

”Candidates were responding a year ago to concerns about health care and Iraq, which last summer was still pretty bad. There were soft spots in the economy back then, but things were pretty stable. Fast-forward a year, now the candidates have to reposition themselves.“

They have to do that almost daily.

When Barack Obama and John McCain visited swing states in the Midwest and West last month, gasoline prices were headed above $4 a gallon. McCain made energy the centerpiece of his town-hall meetings, vowing to push for more offshore drilling and suspend the federal gasoline tax. Obama was quick to respond with his own detailed energy blueprint.

But over the last two weeks, with gasoline prices dropping and other events grabbing headlines, these same sorts of voters were discussing other matters.

Russia was briefly Topic A in Colorado, if only because it was impossible to walk into a bar or a barbershop early last week without seeing a television set screaming ”Breaking News“ in bright red under pictures of tanks and terror.

The invasion began Aug. 8, and by Wednesday, voters were beginning to turn to return to old favorites.

For some, Iraq remained a big deal. The war is still unpopular, but voters in Ohio, another key swing state, have been talking more about costs than lives lost.

”I believe in the war,“ said Rob Matney, a Gahanna, Ohio, real estate agent. He backs McCain, but said: ”We need to cut our losses. We spent a lot of money. Let's get our guys out.“

The swings in voter chatter are a reminder that, so far, the election isn't shaping up as a referendum or a mandate on any one item. Many voters, when they're asked what their most pressing concerns are, note that they've had the same worries for some time and mention a variety of subjects.

Eileen Schoenberger, a Littleton, Colo., stay-at-home mother, wants something done about illegal immigration.

Aaron Rose of Boulder, who was recently laid off from his job at a shoe-manufacturing plant, had health care on his mind.

Dianne Shantz, who teaches nursing at Metropolitan State College of Denver, put all the issues together. ”This election is about the whole package,“ she said. ”I can't pick just one.“

But if there is a theme to this election, Michael Dimock, associate director of research at the Pew Research Center, figured it involves the economy.

”Issues like Russia are new, so they give the media and the political observers something to talk about,“ he said. ”The economy is the one issue that continues as the dominant voter concern.“