Hurricane Summary POSTED: July 30, 2014 7:51 a.m.
Disturbance Holding Steady, Expected to Develop
An area of low pressure well east of the Lesser Antilles continue to show a good circulation, but convection remains sparse. This system is still expected to strengthen over the next few days,
however, as environmental conditions will become more favorable for development.
In the short term, any development is expected to be slow to occur as north-northeasterly wind shear persists over the system. This is causing what limited convection there is to be displaced to
the west and south of the low-level circulation. However, the wind shear is expected to decrease later today and tonight. Drier air just to the north has also filtered into the circulation at times,
limiting development a bit, but this isn't expected to preclude the system from becoming a depression, and likely a tropical storm once the wind shear decreases.
The disturbance should remain on a westward track today and then more west-northwest tonight and tomorrow. By Friday a turn to the northwest is expected. This assumes that the cyclone becomes a
depression, and then "Tropical Storm Bertha" by Friday. Should the disturbance develop more slowly, then the track will remain westerly for longer. As such, interests in both the Windward and Leeward
islands should monitor the progress of this system.
Elsewhere across the Atlantic Basin, things are fairly quiet with no system of consequence at this time.
By AccuWeather Meteorologist Randy Adkins and updated by Senior Meteorologist Carl Erickson