Goodbye, Kentucky Wildcats. Hello, Fort Wayne Mad Ants?
ESPN analysts Fran Fraschilla and Chad Ford see Archie Goodwin's basketball career on that arc.
"Archie Goodwin, I can almost guarantee you, will spend a lot of his time in the D-League the next year or two," Fraschilla said on a teleconference Wednesday.
Goodwin chose to leave UK after his freshman season of 2012-13 and enter this summer's NBA Draft. The analysts all but predicted that the former UK player will need time in the NBA's Developmental League in order to become a viable pro.
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"He's having a rough time right now with NBA teams partly because expectations for him were so high coming out of high school," said Ford, the resident NBA Draft evaluator for ESPN.
UK Coach John Calipari's record for producing pro players, usually after one college season, works against Goodwin, Ford said.
"When it didn't happen with Archie, I think a lot of NBA scouts put that back on the player," the ESPN analyst said. "If Calipari can't get the best out of you, and you can't develop ... (that rings an alarm).
"And it didn't feel he developed much as a player from the beginning of the season to the end of the season. How does that bode for your NBA future playing in the 'D' League or an NBA team? Will he develop as a player when they just didn't see it happen at Kentucky this year?"
Goodwin and 59 other prospects will get a chance to impress pro personnel at the NBA Combine on Thursday and Friday in Chicago. Ford said that Goodwin needs to show he can improve.
"Will he have the right attitude?" Ford said. "Will he be willing to be coached?"
Fraschilla noted Goodwin's struggles as a shooter. Although he led UK in scoring (14.1 points per game), Goodwin made only 26.6 percent of his three-point shots (only seven of 38 against Southeastern Conference teams).
"He has a way-below-average jump shot," Fraschilla said. "That's going to scare a lot of people off."Fraschilla noted that Goodwin, who turns 19 in August, will be one of the youngest players in this year's NBA Draft.
"I think he's a kid that has really good value for a team that's looking for a developmental player," he said.
Fraschilla likened Goodwin to Lance Stephenson, a heralded prospect who used the D-League as a launch into the NBA.
"He has NBA athleticism," Fraschilla said of Goodwin. "The jump shot is a major red flag in his overall game."