The grass is brown, trees are losing their leaves, farmers are worried and backyard gardens are kaput.
The long-range forecast: more of the same.
There was spotty rain in Lexington on Saturday, but the official gauge at Blue Grass Airport recorded only eleven-hundredths of an inch. That was better than the last rainfall, three-hundredths of an inch, on Aug. 21.
Here we are, halfway through September, and Lexington has received less than an inch of rain since the end of July.
But Pulaski County, 75 miles to the south, is a different story. More than 5 inches of rain were reported Saturday in parts of the county, and that follows a wet summer there.
Curiously, Lexington and Pulaski County are in regions of the state that are considered "near normal" in the weekly Palmer Drought Severity Index, which was released Monday.
Only Western Kentucky appears to be be in immediate trouble. It is in moderate drought, although some places got nearly 3 inches of rain Saturday. Crop yields are down there, and farmers are hauling water for livestock.
To Bill Caldwell at the state Division of Water, what's happening in the drier parts of the state looks a lot like what happened in the drought of 1999, which started in August and forced watering restrictions in many places.
No water systems around the state are in trouble yet, Caldwell said.
The Kentucky River, which is Lexington's water source, was flowing into the pool from which Kentucky American Water draws at a rate of 149 million gallons a day.
Caldwell said that's a good flow, largely because there has been rain in the headwaters in southeastern Kentucky.
Kentucky American Water can treat more than 60 million gallons a day. Company spokeswoman Susan Lancho declined Monday to say how much its customers are using. The company must report treatment numbers to government agencies, she said, but it no longer provides them on a daily basis to the media because that could be construed as "financially material information" in violation of Security and Exchange Commission rules.
But, Lancho said, the company has been able to meet customer needs during the recent dry weather, and a new treatment plant on the Kentucky River north of Frankfort is undergoing testing before being put into service.
It might be needed. Caldwell said flows in the river could be a concern if the second half of September is as dry as the first half has been.
"If you look at the National Weather Service's 30-, 60-, and 90-day outlook, you basically get one message: Warm and dry," he said.
September is usually the second-driest month in Kentucky. October is the driest.
Some past droughts have been broken by the remnants of a hurricane that causes havoc in the gulf states but is just a slow, drenching rain when it reaches Kentucky.
It might take one of those to change this year's conditions. It's so dry, Caldwell said, that "we get moisture-laden air coming at us and it just kind of 'poofs.'"