Will we fall into a hot or cool autumn? See Central KY predictions from Farmers’ Almanac
Central Kentucky may see a fall that’s warmer than usual this year, according to forecasters, who also expect the region will see above-normal precipitation.
The popular Farmers’ Almanac predicts the region will see more rain than typical, as well.
Lexington residents have a 40% to 50% chance of experiencing above-normal temperatures this autumn, according to meteorologists with the National Weather Service. There’s also a 33% to 40% probability of above-normal precipitation in Lexington.
Here’s what to know about fall weather in Kentucky, including a prediction from the Farmers’ Almanac and data from meteorologists with the NWS.
Typical fall weather in Lexington
The NWS provides monthly climate data from 1991 to 2020. Here’s what to know about average fall weather in Lexington.
August:
Average minimum temperature: 65.2 degrees
Average maximum temperature: 86.2 degrees
Average overall temperature: 75.7 degrees
Total normal precipitation: 3.71 inches
September:
Average minimum temperature: 58.1 degrees
Average maximum temperature: 80.2 degrees
Average overall temperature: 69.1 degrees
Total normal precipitation: 3.42 inches
October:
Average minimum temperature: 47 degrees
Average maximum temperature: 68.6 degrees
Average overall temperature: 57.8 degrees
Total normal precipitation: 3.66 inches
November:
Average minimum temperature: 36.4 degrees
Average maximum temperature: 55.8 degrees
Average overall temperature: 46.1 degrees
Total normal precipitation: 3.37 inches
The average temperature in Fayette County last August was 75 degrees, according to data from the National Centers for Environmental Information.
Here’s more on average temperatures in Fayette County:
Note: This graphic will automatically update as new data become savailable.
Farmers’ Almanac fall predictions
The almanac forecasts “cooler and drier weather” across the U.S. this fall, with colder temperatures in November and December.
The Farmers’ Almanac’s Extended Fall Forecast 2023 predicts Lexington residents will experience a “great chill down” and “rainy & snowy” weather this autumn. The southern portion of the Bluegrass State can expect “near normal temperatures” and rainy conditions, the almanac’s prediction continues.
Most areas will see below-normal temperatures and above-normal precipitation this autumn, according to the prediction.
The almanac makes predictions based on a mysterious formula that considers factors such as planetary positioning, sunspot activity and tidal action of the moon.
“The only person who knows the exact formula is the Farmers’ Almanac weather prognosticator who goes by the pseudonym of Caleb Weatherbee,” the organization’s website says. “To protect this proprietary formula, the editors of the Farmers’ Almanac prefer to keep both Caleb’s true identity and the formula a closely guarded brand secret.”
The Farmers’ Almanac has provided extended forecasts since 1818, according to its website.
Do you have a question about the environment in Kentucky for our service journalism team? We’d like to hear from you. Fill out our Know Your Kentucky form or email ask@herald-leader.com.
