UK Football

Big games for Devin Leary, Dane Key again? Prop bets for Kentucky vs. Mississippi State.

Kentucky football (5-3, 2-3) will look to snap a three-game losing streak when it faces Mississippi State (4-4, 1-4) in Starkville on Saturday.

Looking to bet on the Wildcats versus the Bulldogs? Here is what you need to know about four possible bets you can make in Kentucky.

What is the spread of the Kentucky versus Mississippi State football game?

As of Thursday, Kentucky was favored by four points despite having not won in Starkville since 2008. That spread is largely a reflection of Mississippi State’s struggles this season. The Bulldogs’ only SEC victory to date was a 7-3 win over an Arkansas team that is 0-5 in league play. Mississippi State has lost to South Carolina and Auburn, which have not beaten any other SEC teams.

What is the over/under for points scored in Kentucky versus Mississippi State?

The over/under for combined points scored is set at 46. Six of Kentucky’s eight games have featured more points than that, but the Wildcats might need an offensive outburst to hit that number this week considering Mississippi State has scored more than 17 points in just one SEC game.

How many passing yards will Devin Leary total versus Mississippi State?

Caesars and DraftKings have set the over/under for Leary passing yards at 216.5. How you feel about that total likely depends on whether you believe Kentucky’s passing improvements against Tennessee were for real. In that game, Leary passed for 372 yards after passing for 128 or less in the previous three games. Leary had only topped 200 passing yards once in SEC play before the Tennessee game (205 at Vanderbilt). Mississippi State looks particularly vulnerable to the pass, ranking 90th nationally in passing defense (238.5 yards per game).

Sophomore wide receiver Dane Key has caught 24 passes for 395 yards and three touchdowns this season. His yardage total leads the team.
Sophomore wide receiver Dane Key has caught 24 passes for 395 yards and three touchdowns this season. His yardage total leads the team. Silas Walker swalker@herald-leader.com

How many receiving yards will Dane Key total versus Mississippi State?

The over/under for Key receiving yards is set at 46.5 one week after he totaled a career-high 113 yards on seven catches against Tennessee. That performance was the culmination of a recent uptick in form for Key, who struggled for much of the first half of the season. Key has topped 46.5 yards four times in eight games. “He is wired correctly,” wide receivers coach Scott Woodward said. “He just wants to get better. He wasn’t seeing it. He knew he was better, but he wasn’t seeing the results.”

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This story was originally published November 3, 2023 at 7:00 AM.

Jon Hale
Lexington Herald-Leader
Jon Hale is the University of Kentucky football beat writer for the Lexington Herald-Leader. He joined the Herald-Leader in 2022 but has covered UK athletics for more than 10 years. Hale was named the 2021 Kentucky Sportswriter of the Year. Support my work with a digital subscription
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