Churchill Downs Racetrack will offer a new twist to its Future Wager menu this year with the debut of the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager, which provides bettors with a unique opportunity to wager on select breeding stars and their entire crop of juveniles with the hope of winning next year’s $2 million Kentucky Derby on Saturday, May 7, 2016.
For the first time, Derby fans can wager on the sire that will produce the winner of the upcoming first leg of the Triple Crown. Like the Future Wager, the sire wager features 23 individual sires of horses in this year’s crop of Kentucky Derby-age Thoroughbreds, along with an “All Others” betting interest.
The inaugural Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager, which features $2 Win and Exacta wagering, will be offered concurrently with Pool 1 of the traditional Kentucky Derby Future Wager. Both betting pools open a four-day run on Thanksgiving Day and close Sunday at 6 p.m. (all times Eastern). Bets can be placed at Churchill Downs Racetrack, TwinSpires.com and other online wagering outlets and satellite wagering centers across North America.
The Nov. 26-29 period will be the only time the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager is offered.
Churchill Downs’ odds maker Mike Battaglia had the challenging and murky task of crafting a morning line for this new wager that showcases groupings of horses sired by some of the best stallions in the world. He tabbed Tapit and Pioneerof the Nile as 15-1 co-favorites among the 23 individual sires offered in the field of 24 wagering interests, but ultimately settled on “All Other Sires” as a strong even-money morning line favorite.
Tapit is North America’s clear-cut leading sire with earnings of more than $16.3 million this year, and Battaglia believes fans could gravitate to offspring by Pioneerof the Nile, who sired the incredibly-brilliant 2015 Triple Crown and Breeders’ Cup Classic winner American Pharoah.
Ultimately, the betting public will have the final say, but one thing is certain: savvy horse players nationwide will closely monitor which individual horses or groupings of horses provide the best betting value and how the odds vary between the two pools.
Here’s an example: if the predictive morning lines holds true, bettors could be presented with a good wagering opportunity on leading first-crop sire Uncle Mo, whose list of 133 current progeny includes Breeders’ Cup Juvenile champion Nyquist. Uncle Mo is 20-1 on the morning line in the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager and bettors would receive the grouping of all of his sons or daughters, whereas Nyquist is 10-1 on his own as an individual interest in Pool 1 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager.
Here’s the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager field (with betting number and morning line odds):Awesome Again (#1, 50-1); Bernardini (#2, 30-1); Blame (#3, 30-1); Candy Ride-ARG (#4, 30-1); Curlin (#5, 30-1); Distorted Humor (#6, 20-1); Eskendereya (#7, 30-1); Ghostzapper (#8, 30-1); Giant’s Causeway (#9, 20-1); Hard Spun (#10, 30-1); Harlan’s Holiday (#11, 30-1); Kitten’s Joy (#12, 30-1); Malibu Moon (#13, 20-1); Medaglia d’Oro (#14, 20-1); Pioneerof the Nile (#15, 15-1); Scat Daddy (#16, 30-1); Street Sense (#17, 30-1); Super Saver (#18, 50-1); Tapit (#19, 15-1); Tiznow (#20, 20-1); Unbridled’s Song (#21, 20-1); Uncle Mo(#22, 20-1); War Front (#23, 20-1); and “All Other Sires” (#24, 1-1).
No scratches or refunds of wagers are permitted in the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager.
The wagering interests were chosen by a Churchill Downs team that includes Racing Secretary Ben Huffman, Senior Director of Communications & Media Services Darren Rogers, Pari-Mutuel Marketing Manager Gary Palmisano and Vice President, Racing Communications John Asher.