Mark Story

Next Up: In Iowa St., UK faces team with Final 4 hopes — and one fatal weakness?

A look ahead to the Kentucky men’s basketball team’s next game in the NCAA Tournament Midwest Region round of 32:

The opponent

No. 7 seed Kentucky (22-13) will face No. 2 seed Iowa State (28-7) on Sunday around 2:45 p.m. EDT at Enterprise Center in St. Louis.

Coach TJ Otzelberger’s Cyclones obliterated No. 15 seed Tennessee State 108-74 on Friday to advance to the round of 32.

Killyan Toure had 25 points and Nate Heise 22 to lead Iowa State.

Cyclones All-America forward Joshua Jefferson scored only two points and played only two minutes before leaving the game due to an apparent left ankle injury.

Iowa State guard Jamarion Batemon (1) embraced coach T.J. Otzelberger after Iowa State defeated Arizona State 91-42 in the Big 12 men’s basketball tournament. The NCAA Tournament No. 2 seed Cyclones will face No. 7 seed Kentucky Sunday for a berth in the Sweet 16.
Iowa State guard Jamarion Batemon (1) embraced coach T.J. Otzelberger after Iowa State defeated Arizona State 91-42 in the Big 12 men’s basketball tournament. The NCAA Tournament No. 2 seed Cyclones will face No. 7 seed Kentucky Sunday for a berth in the Sweet 16. Emily Curiel ecuriel@kcstar.com

Series history

Kentucky leads the all-time series with Iowa State 3-0, with two of the wins in NCAA Tournament contests.

Previous NCAA tourney meetings

• On March 22, 1992, Kentucky defeated Iowa State 106-98 in the NCAA Tournament East Region round of 32.

Jamal Mashburn led the Cats with 27 points, and all four of the Unforgettables supported him with double-digit scoring — 20 points from John Pelphrey, 18 from Sean Woods, 14 from Richie Farmer and 11 by Deron Feldhaus.

Kentucky would follow its victory over Iowa State with a round of 16 win over John Calipari and Massachusetts before a fateful meeting with Christian Laettner and Duke in the East Region finals.

• On March 17, 2012, Kentucky freshman point guard Marquis Teague scored 24 points and senior wing Darius Miller added 19 as the Cats spanked Iowa State 87-71 in the NCAA tourney South Region round of 32 at the KFC Yum Center.

Kentucky senior wing Darius Miller came off the bench to score 19 points to help UK defeat Iowa State 87-71 in the 2012 NCAA Tournament round of 32 at the KFC Yum Center.
Kentucky senior wing Darius Miller came off the bench to score 19 points to help UK defeat Iowa State 87-71 in the 2012 NCAA Tournament round of 32 at the KFC Yum Center. Herald-Leader

UK also got a double-double, 15 points and 12 rebounds, from freshman center Anthony Davis.

John Calipari’s Cats would follow their win over Iowa State by defeating Indiana, Baylor, Louisville and Kansas en route to the 2012 NCAA title.

Power rankings

In the Pomeroy Ratings, Iowa State is No. 6 and Kentucky is No. 27.

At the end of the regular season, the NCAA NET Rankings had Iowa State No. 6 and UK No. 28.

Know your foe

• Iowa State senior forward Joshua Jefferson is one of the most well-rounded players in men’s college basketball. Prior to his abbreviated appearance vs. Tennessee State, the 6-foot-9, 240-pound senior brought averages of 16.9 points, 7.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists into the NCAA Tournament.

A product of Las Vegas who began his college career playing for St. Mary’s, Jefferson was voted an AP Second Team All-American for his play in 2025-26.

After Friday’s win over Tennessee State, Iowa State head man T.J. Otzelberger said X-rays of Jefferson’s injured left ankle had come back negative. The Iowa State coach described Jefferson’s injury as a sprained ankle.

“We’ll continue to reevaluate over the next day or two and just see where things are on Sunday,” Otzelberger said.

It goes without saying that Jefferson’s status for Sunday’s game will be a major storyline.

Iowa State star forward Joshua Jefferson (5) was voted an AP Second Team All-American for his play in 2025-26.
Iowa State star forward Joshua Jefferson (5) was voted an AP Second Team All-American for his play in 2025-26. Tammy Ljungblad tljungblad@kcstar.com

• Other than in one potentially vital area (see below), Iowa State has the statistical profile of a strong Final Four contender.

However, the Cyclones will also have to overcome any lingering impact from their own star-crossed NCAA Tournament history.

In the current century alone, Iowa State has lost as a No. 2 seed to a No. 15 (58-57 to Hampton in 2001); as a No. 3 seed to a No. 14 seed (60-59 to UAB in 2015); and as a No. 6 seed to a No. 11 (59-41 to Pittsburgh in 2023).

The sole Final Four trip in Iowa State men’s hoops history came in 1944.

• For the 2025-26 Cyclones, a potentially fatal flaw could be foul shooting. Iowa State entered the NCAA Tournament No. 338 out of 361 NCAA Division I men’s basketball programs in free-throw accuracy.

Iowa State began March Madness making a pedestrian 67.24% of its free-throw attempts.

As Kentucky fans who lived through the John Calipari coaching era at UK learned all too painfully, errant foul shooting can derail many a promising tournament run.

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This story was originally published March 20, 2026 at 6:08 PM.

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Mark Story
Lexington Herald-Leader
Mark Story has worked in the Lexington Herald-Leader sports department since Aug. 27, 1990, and has been a Herald-Leader sports columnist since 2001. I have covered every Kentucky-Louisville football game since 1994, every UK-U of L basketball game but three since 1996-97 and every Kentucky Derby since 1994. Support my work with a digital subscription
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