Sidelines with John Clay

Kentucky-Louisville basketball statistical comparisons

Louisville forward V.J. King (0) knocks the ball way from Memphis guard Jeremiah Martin during the Cards’ 81-72 win over Memphis at Madison Square Garden in New York on Saturday, Dec. 16, 2017.
Louisville forward V.J. King (0) knocks the ball way from Memphis guard Jeremiah Martin during the Cards’ 81-72 win over Memphis at Madison Square Garden in New York on Saturday, Dec. 16, 2017. Associated Press

Here’s a look at the statistical comparisons between Kentucky and Louisville heading into Friday’s 1 p.m. game in Rupp Arena.

Going by the raw numbers, Kentucky is the better shooting team while Louisville has been better defending both two-point and three-point shots. Kentucky is the better rebounding team, while Louisville is much better at the foul line. Louisville commits fewer turnovers and forces more turnovers than do the Cats. Louisville also blocks more shots and gets more steals per game.

It should be noted that these numbers are not adjusted for opponent strength. Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted numbers have Kentucky averaging 1.138 points per possession, while allowing 0.941. Louisville is averaging 1.101 points per possession while giving up 0.928.

Kentucky basketball statistics

Kentucky individual game-by-game stats in a Google Doc

Louisville basketball statistics

Louisville individual game-by-game stats in a Google Doc

Here are the comparisons by category:

Kentucky-Louisville stats comparisons

Category

UK

U of L

AP ranking

16

NR

Coaches poll

15

NR

RPI

28

32

Pomeroy ranking

18

32

Pomeroy offense

26

60

Pomeroy defense

22

16

Sagarin ranking

22

23

Sagarin strength of schedule

116

227

Field goal percentage

49.5

45.7

Opponents FG percentage

40.5

37.6

Three-point percentage

36.0

35.8

Opponents 3P percentage

32.3

29.8

Threes attempted per game

14.6

22.1

Free throw percentage

68.0

75.4

FT attempts per game

23.3

19.0

Rebound margin per game

6.7

3.2

Off rebound percentage

37.4

33.5

Opponent off reb percentage

30.6

32.1

Assists per game

16.4

13.5

Turnovers per game

15.0

11.8

Turnover percentage

20.4

16.7

Opponents turnover percentage

19.4

20.2

Blocked shots per game

6.0

8.4

Steals per game

6.7

7.6

Points per game

80.7

78.8

Opponents points per game

70.4

64.6

Points per possession

1.095

1.114

Opp points per possession

0.976

0.906

Possessions per game

73.7

70.7

Projected score

72

75

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