John Clay

Playing “what if” with each of the last 10 NBA Drafts

Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo was taken with the 15th overall pick in the 2013 NBA Draft. Now the “Greek Freak” is considered one of the league’s rising stars.
Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo was taken with the 15th overall pick in the 2013 NBA Draft. Now the “Greek Freak” is considered one of the league’s rising stars. Associated Press

Hindsight is 20-20, and when it comes to the NBA Draft, to be renewed Thursday in Brooklyn, there is one “what if” question that stands above all others.

What if the Portland Trail Blazers had taken Michael Jordan with the No. 2 pick in the 1984 NBA Draft instead of former Kentucky center Sam Bowie?

Bowie’s career fell victim to injuries while Jordan won six titles. But that’s not the only “what if” that surely haunts NBA general managers past and present. Here’s a look at the biggest “what ifs” in each of the last 10 drafts.

2007: What if Portland had taken Kevin Durant instead of Greg Oden with the No. 1 pick? Oden was unlucky. Knee injuries limited the former Ohio State center to 105 career NBA games. The Seattle SuperSonics, now Oklahoma City Thunder, took Durant at No. 2. The NBA Finals MVP is now arguably the league’s top player.

2008: What if Miami had taken Russell Westbrook instead of Michael Beasley with the No. 2 pick? A scoring star for Kansas State, Beasley went behind Chicago’s pick of Derrick Rose. Westbrook went No. 4 to Seattle/Oklahoma City. Beasley fizzled while Heat fans wonder what a Dwyane Wade/LeBron James/Westbrook trio would have been like.

2009: What if Memphis had taken James Harden instead of Hasheem Thabeet at No. 2? The Los Angeles Clippers took Blake Griffin at No. 1. Memphis picked Thabeet, a center out of Connecticut who played less than two years for the Grizzlies and was out of the league after the 2013-14 season. Harden, taken No. 3 by Oklahoma City, is an MVP finalist this year.

2010: What if Philadelphia had taken DeMarcus Cousins instead of Evan Turner with the No. 2 pick? Washington took ex-UK guard John Wall at No. 1. His college teammate Cousins slipped behind Derrick Favors (No. 3 to New Jersey/Brooklyn) and Wesley Johnson (No. 4 to Minnesota) to Sacramento at No. 5. Don’t be too hard on the Sixers, however. Cousins might have messed with “The Process.”

2011: What if Minnesota had taken Klay Thompson instead of Derrick Williams at No. 2? A forward out of Arizona, Williams has struggled. Thompson, picked by Golden State at No. 11, is a key figure for the 2015 and 2017 champs.

2012: What if any team in the first round — except New Orleans’ pick of Anthony Davis at No. 1 — had taken Draymond Green? The senior forward out of Michigan State went No. 35 to Golden State. Five years in the league, Green has been to the All-Star Game twice and won two titles.

2013: What if Cleveland had taken Giannis Antetokounmpo instead of Anthony Bennett with the No. 1 pick? Bennett is already out of the league. Taken 15th by Milwaukee, Giannis is the league’s next big thing. Imagine the “Greek Freak” and LeBron facing the Warriors.

2014: What if Joel Embiid had been healthy for three seasons? There’s no obvious “what if” pick for this draft other than Philadelphia wondering whether the former Kansas center, taken No. 3 overall, had been able to play in more than 31 games, all last season, because of injuries. On the flip side, ex-Sixers GM Sam Hinke, architect of “The Process,” may get the last laugh.

2015: What if the Lakers had taken Devin Booker instead of D’Angelo Russell with the No. 2 pick? Minnesota correctly tabbed UK’s Karl-Anthony Towns at No. 1. Drafting 13th, Phoenix smartly selected Booker, the former Kentucky guard who averaged 22.1 points last season and is one of the league’s rising stars. Meanwhile, the Lakers unloaded Russell to Brooklyn on Tuesday presumably to draft UCLA guard Lonzo Ball.

2016: What if any team in the first round had taken Malcolm Brogdon? Milwaukee picked the Virginia guard at No. 36 overall. Now Brogdon is one of three finalists for NBA Rookie of the Year honors along with Embiid and Dario Saric, both of Philadelphia.

2017: Years from now, who will be the “what if” pick of this year’s draft? I’m guessing the team that passes on De’Aaron Fox.

NBA Draft No. 1 overall picks since 1987

Year

Team

Pick

School

1987

San Antonio

David Robinson

Navy

1988

LA Clippers

Danny Manning

Kansas

1989

Sacramento

Pervis Ellison

Louisville

1990

New Jersey

Derrick Coleman

Syracuse

1991

Charlotte

Larry Johnson

UNLV

1992

Orlando

Shaquille O'Neal

LSU

1993

Orlando

Chris Webber

Michigan

1994

Milwaukee

Glenn Robinson

Purdue

1995

Golden State

Joe Smith

Maryland

1996

Philadelphia

Allen Iverson

Georgetown

1997

San Antonio

Tim Duncan

Wake Forest

1998

LA Clippers

Michael Olowokandi

Pacific

1999

Chicago

Elton Brand

Duke

2000

New Jersey

Kenyon Martin

Cincinnati

2001

Washington

Kwame Brown

High School

2002

Houston

Yao Ming

China

2003

Cleveland

LeBron James

High School

2004

Orlando

Dwight Howard

High School

2005

Milwaukee

Andrew Bogut

Utah

2006

Toronto

Andrea Bargnani

Italy

2007

Portland

Greg Oden

Ohio State

2008

Chicago

Derrick Rose

Memphis

2009

LA Clippers

Blake Griffin

Oklahoma

2010

Washington

John Wall

Kentucky

2011

Cleveland

Kryie Irving

Duke

2012

New Orleans

Anthony Davis

Kentucky

2013

Cleveland

Anthony Bennett

UNLV

2014

Cleveland

Andrew Wiggins

Kansas

2015

Minnesota

Karl-Anthony Towns

Kentucky

2016

Philadelphia

Ben Simmons

LSU

This story was originally published June 21, 2017 at 4:16 PM with the headline "Playing “what if” with each of the last 10 NBA Drafts."

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