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Preview: No. 20 Kentucky at No. 1 Georgia

Click below to read more of the Herald-Leader’s and Kentucky.com’s preview coverage ahead of Saturday’s Kentucky-Georgia football game at 7 p.m. in Athens, Ga.

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No. 20 Kentucky football will be in the national spotlight Saturday when it faces No. 1 Georgia in a prime-time game on ESPN.

Looking to bet on the Wildcats versus the Bulldogs? Here is what you need to know about five possible bets you can make in Kentucky.

What is the spread of the Kentucky versus Georgia football game?

As of Thursday, Georgia was favored by 14.5 points. Georgia has won 13 consecutive games in the series, but the margin of victory in two of the last three games was less than two touchdowns. Both of Georgia’s SEC wins this season have come by 10 points or less. Kentucky is the first ranked opponent for Georgia this season.

What is the over/under for points scored in Kentucky versus Georgia?

The over/under for combined points is set at 47.5. The last four meetings between the two programs have featured 43 or fewer combined points, but Kentucky’s hopes of pulling off the upset center around an improved offense capable of mounting more of a threat to the Georgia defense than years past. Both Georgia and Kentucky combined for more than 47.5 points with their opponent in one of two SEC games so far.

Which team will score first in Kentucky versus Georgia?

DraftKings has Kentucky at +210 to score first. During Georgia’s 13-game winning streak in the series, Kentucky has scored first just three times and not since 2016. Kentucky has not scored in the first quarter at all against Georgia since 2017. The Wildcats have scored on their opening drive in four of five games this season and have surrendered points on the opponents’ opening drive just once. If you like Kentucky’s chances of pulling off the upset, it probably starts with the Wildcats not having to play from behind.

How many rushing yards will Ray Davis total versus Georgia?

It’s a big test for the SEC’s leading rusher this week. Despite totaling 280 rushing yards in a win over Florida last week, oddsmakers are skeptical about Davis’ chances of posting a big game against Georgia’s vaunted defense. The over/under for Ray Davis rushing yards at DraftKings and Caesars is set at 70.5 yards. Davis has surpassed that number in four of five games for Kentucky, but Georgia has yet to allow an opposing running back to rush for more than 59 yards in a game this season. The Bulldogs’ rushing defense looked vulnerable versus Auburn last week, but it was Auburn quarterback Payton Thorne (92 yards) that did the most damage on the ground.

Wide receiver Barion Brown recorded a career-high 10 catches for 145 yards and one touchdown against Georgia last season, but his status for this season’s game is uncertain due to an injury he sustained versus Florida.
Wide receiver Barion Brown recorded a career-high 10 catches for 145 yards and one touchdown against Georgia last season, but his status for this season’s game is uncertain due to an injury he sustained versus Florida. Ken Weaver

How many passing yards will Devin Leary total versus Georgia?

If Kentucky is to pull off the upset, it will probably need a big day from Leary, but one week after the passing game was limited to just 69 yards significant improvement is needed. FanDuel has Leary’s over/under for passing yards set at 177.5. Considering Leary had thrown for at least 205 yards in every game before Florida, there might be value to be had here. Two quarterbacks have thrown for more than 177.5 yards against Georgia this season. Leary’s passing numbers are often boosted by screens and shovel passes to get Davis or one of the speedy wide receivers in space, but keep in mind the status of wide receivers Barion Brown and Tayvion Robinson is uncertain due to injury.

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This story was originally published October 5, 2023 at 3:16 PM.

Jon Hale
Lexington Herald-Leader
Jon Hale is the University of Kentucky football beat writer for the Lexington Herald-Leader. He joined the Herald-Leader in 2022 but has covered UK athletics for more than 10 years. Hale was named the 2021 Kentucky Sportswriter of the Year. Support my work with a digital subscription
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Preview: No. 20 Kentucky at No. 1 Georgia

Click below to read more of the Herald-Leader’s and Kentucky.com’s preview coverage ahead of Saturday’s Kentucky-Georgia football game at 7 p.m. in Athens, Ga.